Risk-informed decision-making

This research topic includes a variety of topics from the very general approach to risk-informed decision-making, mainly in the petroleum industry, and mainly related to major hazard risk. This includes the use of risk tolerance criteria as well as ALARP, uncertainties and sensitivity studies, as well as the use of and provisions for cost benefit analysis.

Considerable focus has lately been on how to improve the decision-making in early (pre-FEED) project phases. Important improvement proposals were put forward in the Engen committee (2013) on the improvement of HES regulations in the petroleum industry.

Included in this topic is also use of risk assessment for planning of emergency preparedness, including standards for area based emergency preparedness. Use of environmental risk analysis for decision-making is also part of the topic, including decision-making in relation to acceptability of environmental risk.



Abrahamsen, Aven, Vinnem and Wiencke (2005)"Safety management and the use of expected values"
Risk Decision and Policy, 9, 347-358
Aven and Vinnem (2005)"On the use of risk acceptance criteria in the offshore oil and gas industry"
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 90, 15-24
Aven and Vinnem (2006)"Case illustration of a decision framework for HES management"
Journal of Risk and Reliability, 220(O2), 115-121.
Aven, Røed and Vinnem (2006)"On the use of goals, quantitative criteria and requirements in safety management"
Risk Managm. an International Journal. 8, 118-132
Aven, Vinnem and Vollen (2006)"Perspectives on risk acceptance criteria and management for offshore installations - application to a development project"
Int. J. of Materials & Structural Reliability, 4, 15-25
Aven, Vinnem and Wiencke (2007)"A decision framework for risk management"
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 92, 433-448
Aven, Osmundsen and Vinnem (2008)"Safety, economic incentives and insurance in the Norwegian Petroleum Industry"
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 93, 137-143
Vinnem (2010)"Risk analysis in the planning processes of hazardous facilities - a case of an LNG plant in an urban area"
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 95, 662-670
Vinnem (2011)"Evaluation of offshore emergency preparedness in view of rare accidents"
Safety Science, In Press, Available online 17 August 2010.
Skogdalen, Khorsandi & Vinnem (2012)"Escape, Evacuation, And Rescue Experiences From Offshore
Accidents Including The Deepwater Horizon",
Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 25/1, Pp 148-158
Skogdalen, Vinnem (2012)"Quantitative risk analysis of oil and gas drilling, using Deepwater Horizon as case study", Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 100, 58–66